Last year I wrote about the Dinokeng scenarios produced by Old Mutual under the guidance of Adam Kahane. A few months ago in this column, I recommended an Economic Codesa. This article shows how the two are linked.
“Walk Apart” was a scenario where South Africa ended up as a racially polarised society or, even worse still, was riven by a perpetual civil war. Although South Africa got its act together in Codesa I and II in reaching a negotiated political settlement in the early 1990s, the economy proved to be a nut too hard to crack.