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Method: Transformative scenarios

Why adapt to the future when you can create it?

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About

Transformative scenarios aren’t about predicting the future, they’re about creating it. While most scenario planning methodologies focus on adaptation, transformative scenarios seek to not only understand or adapt to the future but also to shape it. The structured yet creative process helps diverse actors to see the different futures that are possible and discover what they can and must do. Constructing transformative scenarios may lead to working together over time in social labs.

How They Work

Transformative scenarios offer a way for diverse stakeholders together to unblock situations that are polarized or stuck. The facilitated process combines imagination and rigour. It is useful when a diverse set of people face a complex challenge that is vital to them but that they have not been willing or able to work on together, perhaps because they disagree on the very nature of the problem. Transformative scenarios enable them to construct shared understandings, stronger relationships, and clearer intentions, thereby creating the potential for action that will shape a better future.

Examples of transformative scenarios

  • Scenarios for the Future of Afghan Civil Society
  • Cyprus Transformative Scenarios Process
  • The Future of Brazilian Civil Society
  • Mexicos Posibles
  • Possible Futures for Health and Health Equity in the USA
  • Alerta Democratica
  • Brazil Education Scenarios
  • Scenarios for the Drug Problem in the Americas
  • Southern Africa Food Lab
  • Scenarios for Civil Society
  • Wellington-Waterloo Scenarios Canada
  • Dinokeng Scenarios South Africa
  • Destino Colombia
  • Vision Guatemala
  • Scenario Thailand
  • Wahbung Our Tomorrows Imagined

 

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